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Will the four-day workweek become the global norm by 2040?
Pilots show four-day weeks can hold productivity. Does it scale globally, or does it split between knowledge work and the rest of the economy?
Evolutionary Branches
Global norm
Most white-collar work moves to four days
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Knowledge-work only
Four days for offices; frontline stays five
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Compressed hours
Four 10-hour days instead of a shorter week
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Flexible hybrid
Hours vary per person and role
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Productivity backfire
AI pressure pushes back to five-plus days
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